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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).

The predictive model expects De'Von Achane to accrue 14.7 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The predictive model expects De'Von Achane to be a more important option in his team's running game in this week's contest (61.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (47.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 39.0% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The New England defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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