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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Miami Dolphins vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 4th-most run-oriented team in the NFL (44.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • In this week's game, De'Von Achane is expected by the projections to rank in the 88th percentile among RBs with 16.6 carries.
  • De'Von Achane has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (62.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (46.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have only 124.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (a measly 51.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tampa Bay's collection of DTs has been great this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.

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