Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect De'Von Achane to notch 16.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.
De'Von Achane has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this year (62.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (46.4%).
Favors Under
The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 42.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been very good this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.