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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 42.2% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Dolphins.
  • The model projects De'Von Achane to notch 18.3 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • After comprising 46.4% of his team's rushing play calls last season, De'Von Achane has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, now making up 66.9%.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's DE corps has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.6 total plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.

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