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Devon Achane

Devon Achane Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Devon Achane Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-109/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, De'Von Achane is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 12.8 rush attempts.
  • After taking on 46.4% of his team's run game usage last year, De'Von Achane has had a larger role in the running game this year, now accounting for 64.6%.
  • The Buffalo Bills safeties project as the 29th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 8-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to be the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Dolphins this year (only 52.4 per game on average).

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