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Devin Singletary

Devin Singletary Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Devin Singletary Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+330/-390).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -310 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -390.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 58.9 per game on average).
  • In regards to air yards, Devin Singletary grades out in the towering 85th percentile among RBs this year, totaling a striking 2.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The projections expect Devin Singletary to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack near the goal line this week (27.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).
  • Devin Singletary's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a remarkable regression in his receiving ability over last year's 87.2% figure.

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