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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-960).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1050 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -960.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bears to call the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.1 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 4th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • Devin Duvernay, who has earned 2.2% of his team's rush attempts near the goal line since the start of last season (92nd percentile), finds himself in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Chicago Bears red zone rushing attack.
  • Devin Duvernay has been in just the 20th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) with an unimpressive 11.2 mark since the start of last season.

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