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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+690/-820).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +760 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +690.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.
  • The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.
  • After accruing 14.0 air yards per game last year, Devin Duvernay has undergone big improvement this year, currently pacing 19.0 per game.
  • The Bears offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • The receiving TD line reads "0" on Devin Duvernay's stats page since the start of last season.

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