Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens have run the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Devin Duvernay to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack this week (14.8% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (8.3% in games he has played).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football, catching an impressive 81.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile among WRs.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.94 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.6%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.