Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (73.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (54.5%).
Devin Duvernay has put up many more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has notched a lot more receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
Devin Duvernay has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a terrific 80.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 127.0) to wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus wideouts this year (62.4%).

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