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Devin Duvernay

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+208/-314).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +236 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +208.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Devin Duvernay has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Devin Duvernay has posted quite a few more air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
  • Devin Duvernay's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 16.1.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.1%) to WRs this year (61.1%).

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