Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+208/-314).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +236 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +208.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Devin Duvernay has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 16.7% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Devin Duvernay has posted quite a few more air yards this year (55.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 36.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 16.1.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.1%) to WRs this year (61.1%).

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