Devin Duvernay Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Devin Duvernay

NFL · Player Props

Devin Duvernay

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 4, 2022 5:51 PM EST

Analysis

Devin Duvernay Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+371/-751).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +383 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +371.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Devin Duvernay has put up many more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
Devin Duvernay's 29.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 16.1.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Devin Duvernay has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a terrific 80.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 98th percentile among WRs.
The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus wideouts this year (62.4%).
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.55 per game this year.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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