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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
DeVante Parker Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.
  • DeVante Parker's 86.5% Route Participation% this season marks a noteable boost in his passing game workload over last season's 68.8% figure.
  • In this week's contest, DeVante Parker is expected by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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