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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a massive 14.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Patriots to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

At just 27.03 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense has been the 9th-quickest paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

DeVante Parker's 86.5% Route Participation% this season marks a noteable boost in his passing game workload over last season's 68.8% figure.

In this week's contest, DeVante Parker is expected by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

After totaling 61.0 air yards per game last year, DeVante Parker has seen a big downtick this year, currently boasting 51.0 per game.

The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

DeVante Parker's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, totaling a measly 8.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 11.43 mark last season.

The Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.18 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of CBs has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

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