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DeVante Parker

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog this week.

DeVante Parker has been less involved as a potential target this year (86.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (68.8%).

The Broncos pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 8.91 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-most in the league.

The Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Denver's unit has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.5% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL has been the New England Patriots.

The projections expect the Patriots to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

DeVante Parker has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (50.0 per game) than he did last season (61.0 per game).

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.

DeVante Parker has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (45.0).

More DeVante Parker Player Props

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