DeVante Parker Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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DeVante Parker

NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
DeVante Parker's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, accumulating 12.18 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.49 mark last year.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (179.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has displayed bad efficiency against WRs this year, surrendering 9.34 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.
DeVante Parker has notched quite a few less air yards this year (63.0 per game) than he did last year (91.0 per game).

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