DeVante Parker Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

DeVante Parker

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving TD

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

DeVante Parker Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+277/-472).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -468 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -472.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
DeVante Parker has accumulated a whopping 82.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.
DeVante Parker's 51.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 84th percentile for wideouts.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded the 2nd-most passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 1.32 per game since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst CB corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
DeVante Parker has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching a mere 54.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among WRs
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.1%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (64.1%).
The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.