My Account Log Out
Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -180.
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are expected by the projection model to call 70.0 offensive plays in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (50.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Falcons.
  • This year, the daunting Saints defense has yielded a meager 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in football.
  • The New Orleans Saints linebackers rank as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™