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Desmond Ridder

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-quickest paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Raiders.

The leading projections forecast Desmond Ridder to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this contest (14.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Las Vegas Raiders will be rolling with backup quarterback Desmond Ridder in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 37.4% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Desmond Ridder's ground effectiveness (4.25 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (15th percentile among quarterbacks).

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