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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The Browns have been the 5th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is predicted by the predictive model to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 26.8.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a feeble 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson ranks among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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