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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.

Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.

Deshaun Watson has attempted 38.8 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Commanders defense has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in football: 2.50 per game this year.

The Washington cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

With a feeble 59.6% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson has been as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in football.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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