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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+192/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -260.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league (62.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to have 131.2 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

The largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns since the start of last season (a massive 63.6 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Raiders defense has given up a monstrous 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Deshaun Watson's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 57.0%.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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