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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Deshaun Watson's passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 61.8% to 54.3%.

Since the start of last season, the formidable New York Giants defense has surrendered a measly 1.21 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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