Deshaun Watson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

TD Passes

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 54.1% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 31.6 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered the 3rd-least TDs through the air in football: 1.00 per game since the start of last season.

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