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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.
  • In totaling a massive 4.7 carries per game this year, Deshaun Watson places among the top QBs in football (81st percentile) in regards to rushing volume.
  • Deshaun Watson comes in as one of the top quarterbacks in football at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 2.40 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 81st percentile.
  • This year, the porous Bengals run defense has been torched for a whopping 151.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • While Deshaun Watson has received 20.7% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much smaller part of Cleveland's run game in this game at 15.3%.
  • The Bengals linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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