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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.

In this game, Deshaun Watson is anticipated by the projections to garner the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.2.

With an outstanding rate of 2.71 yards-after-contact (82nd percentile), Deshaun Watson places as one of the leading running quarterbacks in the league this year.

The Washington Commanders defense owns the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.21 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.2% run rate.

The leading projections forecast Deshaun Watson to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this game (18.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.8% in games he has played).

The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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