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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.
  • In logging a massive 4.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, Deshaun Watson rates among the top QBs in football (80th percentile) in regards to rushing workload.
  • After making up 13.0% of his offense's run game usage last season, Deshaun Watson has been more involved in the ground game this season, now making up 19.5%.
  • Deshaun Watson has grinded out 23.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (80th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (38.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The New York defensive tackles project as the 8th-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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