Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 4th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to accumulate 5.8 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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