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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 174.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 174.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 174.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Deshaun Watson is predicted by the predictive model to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 26.8.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

With a feeble 59.9% Adjusted Completion% (6th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson ranks among the least accurate quarterbacks in the league.

Deshaun Watson's 5.43 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a remarkable reduction in his passing effectiveness over last season's 6.5% mark.

More Deshaun Watson Player Props

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