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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 188.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 199.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 188.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

The projections expect the Browns to run the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).

In racking up a colossal 37.1 pass attempts per game this year, Deshaun Watson rates among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (83rd percentile) in this statistic.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Deshaun Watson's 58.5% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a meaningful decline in his passing precision over last season's 61.8% figure.

Deshaun Watson's 5.19 adjusted yards-per-target this season conveys a meaningful decline in his passing effectiveness over last season's 6.5% rate.

When it comes to defensive ends pass-rushing, Philadelphia's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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