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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 213.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 219.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.

Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.

Deshaun Watson has attempted 38.8 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile when it comes to QBs.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 8.45 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

The Washington cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

With a feeble 59.6% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Deshaun Watson has been as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in football.

Deshaun Watson's 5.27 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a remarkable decrease in his passing effectiveness over last season's 6.5% rate.

The Washington Commanders defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.14 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the NFL.

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