Deshaun Watson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 4, 2023

Updated Sep 29, 2023 7:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-108/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Opposing offenses have passed for the 6th-most yards in the league (243.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 9th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Deshaun Watson to attempt 33.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-fewest of all quarterbacks.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, giving up 5.99 yards-per-target: the 4th-fewest in football.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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