Deshaun Watson Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Deshaun Watson

NFL · Player Props

Deshaun Watson

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Deshaun Watson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 205.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 222.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 7.89 yards-per-target: the most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 30.7 passes in this game, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the NFL against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season (65.5%).

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