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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
  • In this game, Deshaun Watson is anticipated by the projections to garner the 9th-most carries among all QBs with 5.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.2% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast Deshaun Watson to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this game (18.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (23.8% in games he has played).
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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