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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

In logging a massive 4.4 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, Deshaun Watson rates among the top QBs in football (80th percentile) in regards to rushing workload.

After making up 13.0% of his offense's run game usage last season, Deshaun Watson has been more involved in the ground game this season, now making up 19.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least run-focused offense in the NFL (38.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Cleveland Browns.

The New York defensive tackles project as the 8th-best group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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