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The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.The model projects Derrick Henry to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line in this contest (5.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).Derrick Henry has accrued a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 77th percentile when it comes to RBs. (That may not seem very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (96.8%) to running backs this year (96.8%).
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