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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Derrick Henry has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Baltimore's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 5.0%.
  • Derrick Henry ranks in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs this year with an astounding 0.3% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Derrick Henry has been given 50.0% of his team's red zone carries this year, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on Derrick Henry's player page this year.

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