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Derrick Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-194/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -168 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -194.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Henry has notched a colossal 1.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (86.1%) to RBs this year (86.1%).

This year, the porous Bengals defense has allowed a colossal 0.46 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing RBs: the worst rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.

The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.

Derrick Henry has earned 54.5% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15