Derrick Henry Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 12, 2025 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL (43.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
In this contest, Derrick Henry is expected by the model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.2 rush attempts.
Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 64.1% of the workload in his team's running game.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
Derrick Henry has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
Derrick Henry's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a material diminishment in his rushing talent over last year's 6.2 figure.

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