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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the most run-focused team in the NFL (43.6% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being projected in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
  • In this contest, Derrick Henry is expected by the model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.2 rush attempts.
  • Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, comprising 64.1% of the workload in his team's running game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 44.8 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
  • Derrick Henry's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a material diminishment in his rushing talent over last year's 6.2 figure.

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