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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 82.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 7th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (41.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Baltimore Ravens.

In this contest, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 19.1 carries.

While Derrick Henry has received 60.3% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Baltimore's running game in this week's game at 71.0%.

Derrick Henry's ground effectiveness (5.96 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (98th percentile when it comes to RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

Derrick Henry's 58.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season illustrates a significant regression in his running talent over last season's 118.0 mark.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Houston Texans run defense has yielded a whopping 4.19 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 25th-worst rate in the league.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5