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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-103/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Derrick Henry to accumulate 16.8 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 90th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 61.9% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
  • Derrick Henry's running efficiency (6.02 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (97th percentile when it comes to RBs).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
  • The Chiefs defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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