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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 83.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.

In this game, Derrick Henry is expected by the projection model to slot into the 92nd percentile among running backs with 17.3 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, accounting for 62.2% of the workload in his team's running game.

The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

Derrick Henry's 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a noteworthy decline in his rushing proficiency over last year's 118.0 rate.

Derrick Henry's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a remarkable regression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 6.2 figure.

This year, the formidable New England Patriots run defense has conceded a feeble 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-fewest in the league.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16