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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 86.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 83.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projection model to place in the 92nd percentile among running backs with 19.0 rush attempts.
  • Derrick Henry has garnered 62.5% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Derrick Henry profiles as one of the top running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a fantastic 3.36 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Derrick Henry has run for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (76.0) this season than he did last season (118.0).
  • Derrick Henry's 5.0 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a substantial reduction in his rushing skills over last year's 6.2 mark.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

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