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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-120/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 84.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Ravens are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • In this week's contest, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 100th percentile among running backs with 20.5 rush attempts.
  • Derrick Henry has earned 63.1% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
  • Derrick Henry's 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 6.2 mark.

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