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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 88.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 81.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 88.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 94th percentile among running backs with 18.7 rush attempts.
  • Derrick Henry has earned 63.1% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (78.0) this year than he did last year (118.0).
  • Derrick Henry's 5.2 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a significant reduction in his rushing ability over last season's 6.2 mark.

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