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Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 76.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 80.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

The model projects the Ravens to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.7% run rate.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

In this week's game, Derrick Henry is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs with 17.9 carries.

Derrick Henry has garnered 64.2% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Derrick Henry's 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year indicates a substantial decrease in his rushing proficiency over last year's 118.0 figure.

Derrick Henry's ground efficiency has worsened this year, compiling just 5.15 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 6.17 mark last year.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10