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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

In this week's game, Derrick Henry is projected by the projection model to slot into the 99th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.3 carries.

Among all running backs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 97th percentile for carries this year, taking on 73.0% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.4% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The predictive model expects the Titans offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.90 seconds per snap.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Derrick Henry has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (91.0).

The Indianapolis Colts defense has produced the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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