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Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling with backup quarterback Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being called for in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (96.8%) to running backs this year (96.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 49.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 132.7 total plays called: the 5th-most among all games this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

In regards to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 8