reorder

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Derrick Henry has been a less important option in his team's offense this season, playing on just 46.1% of snaps compared to 57.8% last season.

With an excellent 93.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among running backs.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.9%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (78.9%).

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 5