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Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-213/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

With an exceptional 58.1% snap rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates among the RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Detroit Lions pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 86.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Detroit's unit has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

Derrick Henry ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 3