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Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-216).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -268 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -216.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Derrick Henry has been on the field for 57.8% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.Opposing QBs have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Browns defense since the start of last season: 5th-fewest in the league.When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been fantastic since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
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